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MODULE 01 · PRINT RUN — REPRINT ENGINE

The right reprint decision, across your entire backlist.

Every night, the engine screens the whole catalogue for stockout risk, sizes the optimal reprint quantity, and picks the print technology — turning each title at risk into a structured, arbitrable decision.

For whom:Editorial director, Supply & Operations · Print buyer, Portfolio manager
Request a Reprint Engine demo
Nightly triage · 1,337 active SKU
Reprint now12
Watchlist34
Monitor87
No action1,204
V

The Mysterious Island

VERNE-J978-2-815-15925-5€6.90
BRAND
Stellaire Publishing
DIVISION
Children & Picture Books
TYPOLOGY
Pocket novel
REUSABLE RETURNS
18% · scoped
● Reprint now · 78%
Inventory position · today
ON HAND · DC
1,240
ON ORDER
0
BACKORDERS
90
IP
1,150
WEEKS OF STOCK
2.1
4-wk avg
REINJ. RETURNS 4W
+180
after sorting
STOCKOUT RISK 2W
78%
Monte Carlo
FAST · PODSecure availability
QUANTITY
2,500
ARRIVAL
J+5
UNIT COGS
€4.10
TOTAL COST
€10,250
Stockout before arrival4%
DEFERRED · OFFSET · 8kBest unit cost
QUANTITY
8,000
ARRIVAL
J+28
UNIT COGS
€1.85
TOTAL COST
€14,800
Stockout while waiting27%
◆ Recommended · Deferred + Buffer

Stockout risk while waiting for the offset run is 27%. A 700-copy POD buffer arriving at J+5 brings the residual risk down to 6% — while preserving the €1.85 offset COGS. The engine recommends; the publisher decides.

The problem

Two risks, pulling in opposite directions.

Deciding a reprint means constantly arbitrating between two asymmetric risks: stockout — lost sales, delisting, broken momentum on a title on the rise — and overstock — cash tied up, unsold copies, pulp.

Today this is done by hand, title by title, often too late, and without any consolidated view of the portfolio. The Reprint Engine turns each situation at risk into a structured decision: when to reprint, how many, with which technology.

What it costs to be late

A rising title runs out for six weeks. The momentum is gone — and no reprint brings it back.

A stockout on a title in acceleration is asymmetrically more costly than a degraded unit cost. That asymmetry is exactly what the engine is built to weigh.

What the engine produces

Four deliverables that go straight into your workflow.

01

Portfolio triage

Every active SKU gets a risk status — Reprint now, Watchlist, Monitor, or No action.

02

Two costed scenarios

A fast run that secures availability, and a deferred run that optimises unit cost — fully comparable.

03

A motivated call

An explicit, tunable arbitration rule picks between the scenarios — with a costed rationale.

04

A standardised alert

One JSON object, consumed by every surface of the suite — portal, alerting, printer exports.

The recommendation · explicit rule

Fast, deferred, or deferred with a buffer — decided by a rule you can read.

No black box on the decision that matters. The engine applies the same three-step rule to every alert, with thresholds governed at group level.

Step 1

Deferred is safe

If stockout risk while waiting ≤ 15% → take the deferred run and its better COGS.

Step 2

A buffer bridges the wait

Else, if a POD buffer cuts residual risk ≤ 10% for less than the FAST/DEFERRED gap → deferred + buffer.

Step 3

Availability wins

Otherwise → fast. A stockout on a rising title outweighs a degraded unit cost.

Under the hood · simulation

Risk measured on thousands of futures — not a formula.

Instead of summarising the future with a mean and a standard deviation, the engine replays hundreds of demand trajectories consistent with the forecast, and counts what happens: in how many futures does stock hit zero before the reprint arrives?

It consumes the forecast's P10 / P50 / P90 quantiles directly — the same band shown in DS Agent — and handles intermittent long-tail demand, fractional lead times and reinjected returns natively.

Projected stock · 12 weeks78% hit zero before offset ETA
P50 medianP10–P90 band
Governance

Your objectives, inherited down the editorial pyramid.

Business parameters are set once at the top and flow down — Publisher → Division → Imprint → Series — with override at any level. The same mechanic as Print Run's publisher objectives: whoever configures one configures the other.

  • 1Publishergroup rules
  • 2Divisioninherit + adjust
  • 3Imprintinherit + adjust
  • 4Seriesatypical only
100% of titles under rule — with no per-title parameterisation.
Target availability
95%
Sales window to cover
26 wk
Max stockout risk
25%
Lost sale cost
×1.5 margin
Reusable returns
by range
Reprint budget cap
unlimited

Every alert traces the effective value and its provenance: "Target availability 95% — inherited from Children & Picture Books."

In one sentence
Catch the stockout before it happens — not the week after.
Two scenarios, one rule, a costed rationale — the decision stays yours.
The reprinted quantity does not exist until it arrives — and the engine never pretends otherwise.
The whole backlist under rule, every night, at the cost of a handful of simulations.

What this module does not do.

It does not raise the purchase order — the engine proposes, the order stays human.
It does not forecast demand — that is the upstream engine, consumed via a contract.
It does not model shop-floor stock — only the distribution centre, in V1. Stated up front.
Next step

See the Print Run module running live, in 30 minutes.

Request a demo →
For whom?
Decision-maker · buyer
Editorial & Supply director

Cut waste without risking stockout, harmonise reprint policy across imprints.

User · operator
Print buyer · Portfolio manager

Act on a short, ranked list of alerts — each with a sized, costed, explainable decision.

Related surfaces
MODULE 01 — Print Run
First print run

The first print-run decision, on comparable titles.

DS AGENT — Backlist
DS Agent

Reprint recommendation with confidence band, catalogue alerting.

MODULE 02 — Allocate
Allocate

From global run to point of sale.